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Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 http://jist.publikasiindonesia.id/

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 12

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2
Larangan Terminal–Krian Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima1*, Hera Widyastuti2

Sepuluh Nopember Institute of Technology, Indonesia
Email: [email protected]

*Correspondence
ABSTRACT

Keywords: sidoarjo; LYN
HB2; public transportation;
rural transportation; service
performance.

This study aims to identify the performance of Lyn HB2 rural
public transportation that is actively operating in Sidoarjo
Regency, analyze the level of satisfaction and expectations of Lyn
HB2 rural public transportation users, and estimate the number of
users who are willing to move from motorcycles to Lyn HB2 rural
public transportation. The method used involves primary and
secondary data obtained through observation and dissemination of
questionnaires to Lyn HB2 rural public transportation users, as
well as vehicle capacity analysis, dynamic and static surveys, and
public transportation performance analysis using nine
predetermined parameters. Based on the results of the existing
performance, the service performance on the Lyn Hb2 Rural
Public Transportation was obtained as a result that the travel time
was 2 hours 22 minutes, the frequency of vehicles was 3 per hour,
the load factor was 39%, with a headway time of 31 minutes, the
number of trips per vehicle per day of the Lyn HB2 Rural Public
Transportation as many as 3 trips.

Introduction

Sidoarjo Regency is part of the Gerbangkertosussila development area, with its
position as part of the Surabaya Metropolitan Area, which has rapidly encouraged this
area to grow and develop. (Andari et al., 2024). Based on data from the Central Statistics
Agency of Sidoarjo Regency in 2023, the population of Sidoarjo Regency will reach
1,996,825 people, with a population density of 2,776 people/km². The district, which has
an area of 719.34 km2, is divided into 18 sub-districts, 322 villages, and 31 sub-districts
(BPS Statistics, 2024) (Jaya, 2024). Thus, the consequence of these developments is the
emergence of traffic flows that demand the provision of adequate facilities and
infrastructure as well as reliable transportation management, in connection with the
transportation function as the main support for community activities. (Hayati et al., 2024).

Transportation is a system consisting of 3 (three) subsystems, namely the activity
system, the movement system, and the network system (Malaysia et al., 2019). The
system of activities in an area is located on a piece of land and interacts with each other,
resulting in the emergence of a system of human movement between land uses using a
transportation network system. Transportation services that do not match the needs of
movement cause the transportation system to become useless. Meeting needs is an activity
that must be carried out every day (Sjafruddin, 2012). The increasing population in

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 13

Sidoarjo Regency, followed by the increase in the use of private transportation, has caused
several areas to experience congestion at certain times. This situation emphasizes the need
for effective solutions to overcome these problems in Sidoarjo Regency (Nurhadi et al.,
2024).

Based on data from the Sidoarjo Police Traffic Unit, the number of accidents in the
Sidoarjo area in 2024 from January to October amounted to 1,345 accidents, as a result
of which 200 people died, 44 suffered serious injuries, and 1,600 suffered minor injuries.
Meanwhile, in the Krian area, there were 335 accidents, 29 deaths, 24 serious injuries,
and 395 minor injuries. (Setiawan et al., 2022). In addition, traffic congestion in the Krian,
Wonoayu, and Sidoarjo sub-districts during 2024 has contributed significantly to the
increase in air pollution. Based on the source of information, namely the Sidoarjo radar,
the air quality in Krian District is recorded as the worst in Indonesia. As reported by the
air quality monitoring site, IQ Air, the air in Krian is in the unhealthy category. On
December 18, 2024, Krian was ranked first with an Air Quality Index (IKU) of 167. In
addition, PM 2.5 fine particles in Krian were recorded at 571 micrograms per cubic meter.
This means that it is 11.4 times higher than the annual guideline value set by WHO.
Therefore, one of the efforts to respond to the problem issue is the existence of Public
Transportation for the public to reduce the mobility of private vehicles. (Kyprianos et al.,
2024) Teaching cataloging after RDA 3R project: Lessons learned. However, the
existence of Lyn HB2 is currently still haunted by various problems, including the
behavior of angkot drivers who tend to violate traffic rules to chase passengers or
deposits. This habit often causes traffic congestion and can endanger the safety of
passengers and other road users. In addition, the physical condition of old and obsolete
vehicles and safety issues due to the existence of hawkers and buskers make passengers
reluctant to use Lyn HB2. (Armianti & UB, 2022). Another issue of concern is the
reduction in the number of active fleets because many vehicles are no longer roadworthy
and the low load factor, even to the point that some routes are no longer operating. In
2022, there are 14 active routes, in 2023 there are 11 active routes, but in 2024 all routes
are inactive because no one has issued permits. (Kartika et al., 2022). Factors such as the
increasing use of private vehicles, competition with online transportation, difficult
accessibility, and inadequate transportation conditions also cause a decline in the
performance of rural public transportation routes such as Lyn HB2.
The objectives of this study are as follows:
1. Analyzing the performance of Lyn HB2 rural public transportation that is actively

operating in Sidoarjo Regency.
2. Analyze the level of satisfaction and expectations of Lyn HB2 rural public

transportation users.
3. Analyze the estimated number of users who are willing to move from motorcycles to

Lyn HB2 rural public transportation.

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 15

This data includes information about the number of vehicles, departure frequency, and
road conditions, headways, travel times, vehicle speeds, load factors.

2. Primary Data: Primary data is obtained through field surveys, interviews, and direct
observation. The survey was conducted by distributing questionnaires to rural public
transportation users on the HB2 route to measure the level of satisfaction and identify
the problems faced.

Results and Discussion
Analysis of Satisfaction and Expectations of Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation
Users in Sidoarjo Regency

The analysis of the level of satisfaction and expectations of the use of Lyn HB2
Rural Public Transportation was carried out using the Importance Performance Analysis
(IPA) method to measure the level of satisfaction and importance comprehensively. The
analysis of science uses the analysis of the Cartesian diagram. The analysis of the
cartesian diagram was carried out by calculating the horizontal axis (X) which shows the
service quality level score and the axis (Y) which shows the expected level score. The
calculation of the average score, performance level, and expectations is used to determine
the cut-off point on the Cartesian diagram which then divides the diagram into 4
quadrants. The following are the stages of the analysis test used to obtain the calculation
of the horizontal axis (X) which shows the score of the service quality level and the axis
(Y) in the Importance Performance Analysis (IPA) method.
Overview of the Implementation of the Interview Survey

The survey was conducted on users of Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation on the
Larangan Terminal-Krian Terminal route to find out the performance of Lyn HB2 Rural
Public Transportation, the reality and expectations of Lyn HB2 users to advance public
transportation, especially rural public transportation in Sidoarjo Regency. Before
conducting a survey, primary data on the number of passengers who got off and up was
needed. The survey was conducted on weekdays and holidays to find out the number of
daily passengers during working hours and holidays. The interview survey was carried
out for approximately 7 days, namely in the morning starting at 06.30, in the afternoon at
13.00, and in the afternoon at 16.00 to get the number of respondents by the research
goals and objectives.

Survey of interviews with users of Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation in
Sidoarjo Regency, the sample taken from the total number of passengers within 1 year in
2023 is 16,117 people.

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 16

Thus, the minimum number of samples to be taken is about 100 samples for the e
value used is 0.1 or 90% precision which is expected to be able to represent passengers.
After the survey was carried out, the data was analyzed to determine the performance,
satisfaction, and expectations of the current Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation users.
Sample Testing using the SPSS App

This research is in the form of a questionnaire interview survey formulated in
questions. Validity and reliability testing is carried out to determine whether the
measurement scale can be known correctly (validly) and consistently (reliable) so that the
results of the research can be accounted for. The test was carried out by calculating the
correlation between 1 item and the overall item using the correlation formula from the
research results and then comparing it with the r table from the statistical distribution
table. The number of samples was 100 respondents with a significance level of 5% or
0.05 for the 1-way test, with the formula Df = n-2 then Df = 100-2 = 98 was obtained then
seen in the table Df = 98 with the significance level for the one-way test 0.05 obtained r
table is 0.1654 which will then be compared with the r calculated on the validity test
results in Table 1 and Table 2. Here is a table of the distribution of r values.

Table 1

Distribution Table of Significant r Values 5%-10%

df = (n-2)

The significance level for the one-way test
0.05 0.025 0.01 0.005 0.0005

Significance level for bi-directional testing
0.1 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.001

70 0.1954 0.2319 0.2737 0.3017 0.3798
71 0.1940 0.2303 0.2718 0.2997 0.3773
72 0.1927 0.2287 0.2700 0.2977 0.3748
73 0.1914 0.2272 0.2682 0.2957 0.3724
74 0.1901 0.2257 0.2664 0.2938 0.3701
75 0.1888 0.2242 0.2647 0.2919 0.3678
76 0.1876 0.2227 0.2630 0.2900 0.3655
77 0.1864 0.2213 0.2613 0.2882 0.3633
78 0.1852 0.2199 0.2597 0.2864 0.3611
79 0.1841 0.2185 0.2581 0.2847 0.3589
80 0.1829 0.2172 0.2565 0.2830 0.3568
81 0.1818 0.2159 0.2550 0.2813 0.3547
82 0.1807 0.2146 0.2535 0.2796 0.3527
83 0.1796 0.2133 0.2520 0.2780 0.3507
84 0.1786 0.2120 0.2505 0.2764 0.3487
85 0.1775 0.2108 0.2491 0.2748 0.3468
86 0.1765 0.2096 0.2477 0.2732 0.3449
87 0.1755 0.2084 0.2463 0.2717 0.3430
88 0.1745 0.2072 0.2449 0.2702 0.3412

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 17

89 0.1735 0.2061 0.2435 0.2687 0.3393
90 0.1726 0.2050 0.2422 0.2673 0.3375
91 0.1716 0.2039 0.2409 0.2659 0.3358
92 0.1707 0.2028 0.2396 0.2645 0.3341
93 0.1698 0.2017 0.2384 0.2631 0.3323
94 0.1689 0.2006 0.2371 0.2617 0.3307
95 0.1680 0.1996 0.2359 0.2604 0.3290
96 0.1671 0.1986 0.2347 0.2591 0.3274
97 0.1663 0.1975 0.2335 0.2578 0.3258
98 0.1654 0.1966 0.2324 0.2565 0.3242
99 0.1646 0.1956 0.2312 0.2552 0.3226

100 0.1638 0.1946 0.2301 0.2540 0.3211
Source: R Statistics Table

Validity Testing Using SPSS Application
The validity test of the research instruments was carried out with 2 parts of the

questionnaire. The first part of the questionnaire measures the level of reality or
perception for passenger respondents consisting of 17 question items. Meanwhile, the
second part of the questionnaire measures the level of importance or expectation of the
quality of service they receive or feel. This test is carried out by calculating the correlation
between 1 item and the overall item using the correlation formula or product moment (r).
Validity testing is carried out to find out whether the instrument or measurement scale
can show correctly (valid) so that the results obtained as the basis for concluding this
study can be accounted for. The results of the validity test of the perception and
expectations of Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation users can be seen in the table below.

Table 2

Test Table of Validity of Reality/Perception of Public Transportation Services
Rural Lyn HB2

r
table

0,16
5

0,1
65

0,16
5

0,1
65

0,16
5

r
calcu
late

0.65
1

0.65
0

0.58
9

0.53
5

0.52
3

0.56
3

0.58
3

0.59
9

0.44
4

0.47
0

0.59
0

0.55
4

0.5
82

0.37
9

0.3
96

0.44
9

Ket
Vali

d
Vali

d
Val
id

Vali
d

Val
id

Vali
d

Varia
nt

0,73
0

0,76
2

0,98
1

0,82
1

0,80
1

1,06
2

0,57
0

0,75
0

0,82
9

0,72
1

0,64
0

0,76
5

0,78
6

0,8
38

0,70
0

0,6
45

0,90
8

Sum 242 242 242 271 253 241 243 245 272 242 263 271 258 221 263
26
3

221

Aver
age

2,42 2,42 2,42 2,71 2,53 2,41 2,43 2,45 2,72 2,42 2,63 2,71 2,58
2,2
1

2,63
2,6
3

2,21

Varia
ble

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 x7 x8 x9 x10 x11 x12 x13 x14 x15
x1
6

x17

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 18

Table 3

Validity Test Table of Expected Value of Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation Service

r table
0,16

5
0,16

5
r
calcul
ate

0.73
4

0.63
8

0.61
1

0.53
1

0.64
6

0.58
5

0.71
5

0.70
0

0.63
6

0.64
9

0.47
8

0.60
3

0.65
7

0.62
0

0.56
4

0.51
5

0.52
4

Ket
Vali

d
Vali

d
Varian
t

0,76
8

0,91
4

0,75
2

0,87
2

1,10
0

1,35
3

0,77
4

1,13
0

1,14
8

1,11
8

0,86
6

0,90
0

0,80
6

0,95
2

0,63
4

0,77
3

0,96
6

Sum 447 444 448 354 446 443 444 442 489 445 462 356 431 414 447 462 413
Avera
ge

4,47 4,44 4,48 3,54 4,46 4,43 4,44 4,42 4,89 4,45 4,62 3,56 4,31 4,14 4,47 4,62 4,13

Variab
le

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 x7 x8 x9 x10 x11 x12 x13 x14 x15 x16 x17

Based on Table 2 and Table 3 above, it can be seen that the results of the validity

test show that the actual value or perception of rural public transportation services of Lyn
HB2 r calculates > r table = 0.165, as well as the results of the expected value, namely r
calculates > r table = 0.165. Thus, 17 question items from the variable of public
transportation travel speed (X1) to the variables of safety, facilities, and cleanliness at the
bus stop (X17) were declared valid.
Reliability Testing Using SPSS Application

Some of the questions in this study are non-physical data used to assess the reality
and expectations of public transportation users. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct
reliability testing to find out whether the instrument or measurement scale is consistent
(reliable) or not so that the results obtained as the basis for concluding this study can be
accounted for. The results of the reliability test of the reality and expectations of Lyn HB2
Rural Public Transportation users can be seen in the table below.

Table 4

Reliability Test Table

It Variable
Assessment

Criteria
Cronbach Alpha

< / >
Reliability
Standards

Ket
Hope Fact

1 X1 Operating
Hours of Rural
Public
Transportation
Routes
Lyn HB2

0,833 0,884 > 0,60 Reliable

2 X2 Frequency
Public
Transportation
Vehicles

0,833 0,888 > 0,60 Reliable

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 19

It Variable
Assessment

Criteria
Cronbach Alpha

< / >
Reliability
Standards

Ket
Hope Fact

3 X3 Waiting Time
for Rural Public
Transportation
Routes
Lyn HB2

0,837 0,889 > 0,60 Reliable

4 X4 Public
Transportation
Travel Time

0,839 0,892 > 0,60 Reliable

5 X5 Public
Transportation
Travel Speed

0,840 0,888 > 0,60 Reliable

6 X6 Accuracy of
Arrival and
Departure
Schedules
Public
Transportation

0,839 0,891 > 0,60 Reliable

7 X7 Ease of access
for the
community
Public
Transportation
schedule and
route
information

0,837 0,885 > 0,60 Reliable

8 X8 Level
Public
Transportation
Transfers

0,836 0,885 > 0,60 Reliable

9 X9 Passenger
Density in
Transportation
Common

0,836 0,888 > 0,60 Reliable

10 X10 Condition/Feasi
bility of Public
Transportation
(seating
capacity,
cleanliness
vehicle)

0,844 0,887 > 0,60 Reliable

11 X11 Safety and
Security of
passengers in
In Vehicles

0,842 0,893 > 0,60 Reliable

12 X12 Completeness
of identity and
neatness of
officers

0,836 0,889 > 0,60 Reliable

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 20

It Variable
Assessment

Criteria
Cronbach Alpha

< / >
Reliability
Standards

Ket
Hope Fact

Public
Transportation

13 X13 Hospitality/
politeness of
Public
Transportation
officers

0,838 0,887 > 0,60 Reliable

14 X14 Speed of
response by
management
Complaints

0,837 0,888 > 0,60 Reliable

15 X15 Travel costs
using Public
Transportation

0,847 0,890 > 0,60 Reliable

16 X16 Pregnant
women, the
elderly, people
with
disabilities, and
children get
priority when
getting on and
off
transportation
common

0,846 0,892 > 0,60 Reliable

17 X17 Security,
facilities, and
cleanliness at
bus stops

0,845 0,892 > 0,60 Reliable

8 X8 Level
Public
Transportation
Transfers

0,836 0,885 > 0,60 Reliable

Based on Table 4 above, it can be seen that the reliability test results show that the

value of Cronbach Alpha for each variable is> 0.60. Thus, the indicators of the variable
of public transportation travel speed (X1) to the variables of safety, facilities, and
cleanliness at bus stops (X17) are declared reliable to be used as a research variable tool.
Quadrant Analysis with Performance Analysis Index (IPA) Method using SPSS
Application

The results of the calculation at the level of conformity are then described into four
parts or quadrants of the Cartesian diagram. This is intended to obtain points on the
diagram based on the level of reality and expectations that allow the author to group and
prioritize improvement efforts on the attributes that are considered important and

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 21

expected by the customer to obtain maximum satisfaction. It is known that the average
total value of the Perception statement (∑X) is 42.53 and the average total value of interest
or expectation (∑Y) is 73.87. Therefore, the average magnitude of the total value of the
perceived average of 2.50 which is then used as a cut line against the X axis. The average
of the total value of the expected average performance of 4.35 which is then used as a cut
line against the Y axis.

Figure 2

Cartesian Diagram of Perception and Hope

Table 5
Distribution of Perception and Expectation Indicators

Quadrant No Criteria Criterion
I

(Top Priority)
1 Operating Hours of Rural Public

Transportation Lyn Route HB2
2 Frequency of Public Transportation

Vehicles
3 Waiting Time for Rural Public

Transportation Lyn Route HB2
6 Accuracy of Public Transportation

Arrival and Departure Schedules
7 Ease of public access to information on

public transportation schedules and
routes

8 Public Transportation Mobility Rate
10 Condition/Feasibility of Public

Transportation (seating capacity,
vehicle cleanliness)

II 5 Public Transportation Travel Speed

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 22

Quadrant No Criteria Criterion
(Maintain) 9 Passenger Density in Public

Transportation
11 Safety and Security of passengers in the

vehicle
15 Travel costs using Public

Transportation
16 Pregnant women, the elderly, people

with disabilities, and children get
priority when getting on and off public
transportation.

III
(Low Priority)

14 The speed of the management to
respond to complaints

17 Security, facilities, and cleanliness at
bus stops

IV
(Excessive)

4 Public Transportation Travel Time
12 Completeness of Identity and Neatness

of Public Transportation Officers
13 Friendliness/courtesy of Public

Transportation officers

Probability of Moving Motorcycle Users to Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation
To analyze how willing private motorcycle users are to switch modes to Lyn HB2

Rural Public Transportation, the binary logistic regression method is used, where the
variable is dichotomous with two possibilities (1 = Yes willing to switch and 2 = Not
willing to switch). This analysis aims to determine the influence between variables of age,
gender, occupation, income, frequency of motorcycle use, reason for using motorcycles,
purpose of trip using motorcycles, frequency of trips, costs incurred, average travel time,
amount of luggage, condition of pedestrian facilities (platforms, sidewalks,
terminals/stops lyn HB2, terminal/stop lyn HB2, conditions of scheduled public
transportation, terminal security conditions, pedestrian facility needs, terminal facilities,
scheduled public transportation services, improvements in terms of security, required
mode transfer infrastructure, and infrastructure priorities. (Alshare, 2018). In the data
processing process, each category in each variable will be coded, the code can be seen in
the table below.

Table 6

Code Each Category on Each Variable
It Variable Category Name Code
1 Age 12-16 1

17-25 2
26-35 3
36-45 4
46-55 5
56-65 6

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 23

It Variable Category Name Code
>65 7

2 Gender Man 1
Woman 2

3 Job Type TNI / POLRI / PNS 1
Private Employees 2
Students / Students 3
Entrepreneur / Self-Employed 4
Housewives 5
Other 6

4 Income >2,000,000 1
IDR 2,000,000 – IDR 5,000,000 2
> IDR 5,000,000 3

5 Frequency of Motorcycle
Use in the Past Week

Never 1
1-2 times 2
3-5 times 3
>5 times 4

6 Reasons for using
motorcycles

Practical and fast 1
More cost-effective 2
There is no adequate public
transportation

7 Motorcycle users' travel
intent

Work 1
Family needs 2
School/college 3
Other 4

8 Travel frequency Every day 1
Weekdays (Monday-Friday) 2
Weekends (Saturday-Sunday) 3

Once a week 4

Other 5
9 Costs incurred IDR 10000 1

IDR 15,000 2

< IDR 9,000 3
> IDR 20,000 4

10 Average travel time 10 minutes 1
15 minutes 2
20 minutes 3
< 9 minutes 4
> 21 minutes 5

11 Number of luggage 1 piece 1
2 pieces 2

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 24

It Variable Category Name Code
> 2 pieces 3

12 Condition of pedestrian
facilities (platforms,
sidewalks, terminals/stops
lyn HB2

Not Eligible 1
Less Worthy 2
Quite Decent 3
Proper 4

Highly Worthy 5
13 Terminal/stop condition of

lyn HB2
Not Eligible 1
Less Worthy 2
Quite Decent 3
Proper 4
Highly Worthy 5

14 Conditions of scheduled
public transportation

Not Eligible 1
Less Worthy 2
Quite Decent 3
Proper 4
Highly Worthy 5

15 Terminal security
conditions

Not Eligible 1
Less Worthy 2
Quite Decent 3
Proper 4
Highly Worthy 5

16 Pedestrian Facility Needs Desperately needed 1
Need 2
Enough Need 3
Less Needed 4
No Need 5

17 Terminal facility needs Desperately needed 1
Need 2
Enough Need 3
Less Needed 4
No Need 5

18 Scheduled Public
Transportation Service
Needs

Desperately needed 1
Need 2
Enough Need 3
Less Needed 4
No Need 5

19 Improvement needs from
the security side

Desperately needed 1
Need 2
Enough Need 3
Less Needed 4
No Need 5

20 Modal Transfer
Infrastructure Needs

Desperately needed 1
Need 2
Enough Need 3
Less Needed 4
No Need 5

21 Priority Needs of
Infrastructure

Desperately needed 1
Need 2
Enough Need 3

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 25

It Variable Category Name Code
Less Needed 4
No Need 5

As for the bound variable, those who are willing to change modes to Lyn Rural

Public Transportation HB2 with code 1 and are not willing to change modes to Lyn Rural
Public Transportation HB2 with code 2. Analysis of mode transfer based on
characteristics, existing conditions, and needs is tested in a multivariate manner using the
SPSS application Where all variables are entered simultaneously to find out whether or
not there is a relationship between these variables, which includes age, gender,
occupation, income, frequency of motorcycle use, the reason for using a motorcycle, the
purpose of the trip to use the motorcycle, frequency of trip, costs incurred, average travel
time, amount of luggage, condition of pedestrian facilities (platform, sidewalk,
terminal/stop lyn HB2, condition of terminal/stop lyn HB2, condition of scheduled public
transportation, terminal security conditions, needs for pedestrian facilities, terminal
facilities, scheduled public transportation services, improvements in terms of security,
infrastructure for moving modes needed, and priority of infrastructure.

Table 7

Testing Criteria

From Table 7 above, it can be seen that in the model testing criteria before the

independent variables are entered, the test requirements are met, this is because the value
of -2 log-likelihood < chi-square. The value of -2 log probability is 45.394 while the Chi-
square of the table is obtained from DF = n – 1 (100- 1=99), which is obtained from the
chi-square value of the table of 123.225. The next stage is to find out whether the
independent variables (x1=age, x2= gender, x3= occupation, x4= income, x5= frequency
of motorcycle use, x6=reason for using a motorcycle, x7= purpose of the trip to use the
motorcycle, x8=frequency of travel, x9=costs incurred, x10=average travel time,
x11=amount of luggage, x12= condition of pedestrian facilities (platforms, sidewalks,
terminals/stops of lyn HB2, x13=Terminal/stop condition of Lyn HB2, x14=Condition
of scheduled public transportation, x15= Terminal safety condition, x16=Pedestrian
facility needs, x17= Terminal facilities, x18=Scheduled public transportation services,

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 26

x19=Improvements in terms of security, x20=Required mode transfer facilities, and
x21=Priority of infrastructure) have a simultaneous effect on the dependent variable (y=
willingness to switch modes to Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation).

Table 8

Simultaneous Influence Testing Criteria

Based on the table above, it can be seen that in the model testing criteria, all

variables are declared to have been affected simultaneously, as evidenced by the Sig or P
value is 0.002 < α=0.05. With logistic regression, the t-test and the partial test are replaced
by the Wald test used for the partial real test for each variable coefficient. The significance
for the Wald test is less than 0.05. Here are the results of the Wald test.

Table 9

Wald Test Results

Based on the table above, it can be seen that a significant variable to influences
respondents to choose the Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation mode of transportation
is the need for improvements in terms of safety and public transportation schedule
conditions. So the following logical equation is obtained:
Logit (p)= ln

��
1−��

= β0 ± ∑ ��
��
��−1

= -6.160 + -1.264+2.9552.591

= -1.878

p =
e−1.878

1+e−1.878

=0.1326 = 13.26%

Performance Analysis of Rural Public Transportation Route Hb2 Larangan Terminal–Krian
Terminal, Sidoarjo Regency

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 27

The result of logit (p) is -1,878, indicating that the probability is 13.26% or below
50% when viewed from the variable criteria of the need for improvement in terms of
safety and condition of public transportation schedules. However, if you look at the results
of the questionnaire survey obtained by motorcycle users who are willing to change
modes to Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation by 96% or as many as 94 people which
can be seen in the following table.

Table 10
Probability of Motorcycle User Displacement

to Lyn Rural Public Transportation HB2

Conclusion

The Lyn HB2 Rural Public Transportation, which serves the Larangan Terminal-
Krian Terminal route, is an innovation to reduce congestion and provide more efficient
transportation solutions for rural communities in Sidoarjo. However, the results of the
analysis show that this service still faces various challenges. Based on the evaluation of
existing performance by the Decree of the Director of Transportation and Transportation
Number 687 of 2002, the performance of Lyn HB2 includes an average travel time of 2
hours and 22 minutes, vehicle frequency 3 times per hour, load factor of 39%, headway
31 minutes, number of trips per vehicle as many as 3 trips per day, mileage per vehicle
per day 198.8 km, cycle time 144 minutes, The average number of passengers per trip is
9 people, as well as the ideal needs of 6 fleets. The average Lyn HB2 vehicle is 36 years
old with a vehicle speed of 37.1 km/h, an average income per trip of Rp 45,000–Rp
90,000, and a daily operating time of 11 hours and 45 minutes (06.36–18.21 WIB).
However, vehicles on this route do not meet the route permit because they do not renew
the permit in 2024. Based on the Minister of Transportation Regulation Number PM 98
of 2013, only 25% of services meet the Minimum Service Standards (SPM), while the
other 75% do not meet, so service improvements are needed. The main factor that affects
the quality of Lyn HB2's service is the accuracy of arrival and departure schedules. In
addition, the probability of switching modes of transportation from motorcycles to Lyn
HB2 reaches 94%, with the main criteria that affect the operating hours of rural public
transportation on the Lyn HB2 route, the frequency of public vehicles, the waiting time
for rural public transportation on the Lyn HB2 route, the accuracy of the arrival and
departure schedules of public transportation, the ease of public transportation schedule
and route information, the level of public transportation movement, the
condition/feasibility of public transportation (seating capacity, vehicle cleanliness).

Anita Rahma Nur Iqlima, Hera Widyastuti

Indonesian Journal of Social Technology, Vol. 6, No. 1, January 2025 28

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